WN 2598 · ELP → DAL

departs 12:00 PM MT · arrives 2:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2598 · ELP → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?