WN 2609 · MCI → AUS

departs 6:21 PM CT · arrives 8:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2609 · MCI → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?