Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2625
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2625 · ATL → LAS
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 9:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
67%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
45%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.