WN 2661 · MCI → MCO

took off 12:05 PM CT · landed 3:17 PM ET (scheduled 11:40 AM CT → 3:26 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2661 · MCI → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?