WN 2688 · MCO → BNA

departs 10:21 PM ET · arrives 11:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

74% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 10pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2688 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?