WN 2718 · ABQ → HOU

departs 4:30 PM MT · arrives 7:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at ABQ that day

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2718 · ABQ → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?