Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2724
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2724 · TUL → AUS
departs 9:50 AM CT · arrives 11:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at TUL that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.