WN 2754 · SJC → SAN

departs 6:45 PM PT · arrives 8:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
62%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2754 · SJC → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?