WN 2765 · PHX → OKC

departs 12:11 PM MT · arrives 4:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2765 · PHX → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?