Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 276
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 276 · ISP → MCO
departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at ISP that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ISP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.28 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.