Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2776 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

WN 2776 · SAT → DAL

departs 7:30 AM CT · arrives 8:45 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.12 in

DAL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2776 · SAT → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?