WN 2779 · HOU → SAT

departs 10:30 PM CT · arrives 11:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HOU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2779 · HOU → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?