Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 277
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 277 · AUS → DAL
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 6:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 55%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,033 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.