WN 278 · ATL → HOU

departs 6:06 AM ET · arrives 7:19 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.12 in

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 278 · ATL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?