WN 2801 · MCO → SJU

took off 6:37 AM ET · landed 9:03 AM AT (scheduled 6:15 AM ET → 9:16 AM AT)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SJU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

SJU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2801 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?