Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2810
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2810 · MDW → MCI
departs 9:50 AM CT · arrives 11:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MDW is busy at that time
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.