WN 2832 · BWI → ATL

departs 2:42 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.13 in

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2832 · BWI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?