Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2843 · EUG → DEN
departs 2:20 PM PT · arrives 5:50 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from EUG are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.