Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2896
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2896 · LGA → OMA
departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.