WN 2904 · BWI → ATL

departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 8:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.10 in

ATL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2904 · BWI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?