Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2914 · MEM → HOU
departs 6:15 AM CT · arrives 7:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MEM that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.24 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.