WN 2922 · DEN → BNA

departs 8:27 PM MT · arrives 12:00 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2922 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?