Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2933 · ECP → BNA
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 7:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 3.52 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.