WN 2935 · HOU → MSY

departs 10:29 AM CT · arrives 11:49 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

MSY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2935 · HOU → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?