WN 2946 · MDW → OMA

departs 9:40 PM CT · arrives 11:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2946 · MDW → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?