Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2950 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 2950 · MDW → PDX

departs 11:41 PM CT · arrives 1:25 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2950 · MDW → PDX

Odds over time