Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2956 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:24 PM MT, ETA 7:47 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 2956 · DEN → DAL

took off 5:24 PM MT · expected to land 7:47 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2956 · DEN → DAL

Odds over time