WN 2959 · PHX → MCI

departs 2:25 PM MT · arrives 7:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2959 · PHX → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?