WN 2965 · MSY → LAS

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:59 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.03 in

LAS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2965 · MSY → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?