WN 298 · CMH → DAL

took off 7:15 PM ET · expected to land 8:22 PM CT (scheduled 6:35 PM ET → 8:18 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 298 · CMH → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?