WN 3007 · SJD → HOU

departs 2:11 PM MST · arrives 6:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3007 · SJD → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?