WN 3071 · PIT → PHX

took off 10:00 AM ET · expected to land 10:59 AM MT (scheduled 9:50 AM ET → 11:16 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3071 · PIT → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?