WN 3073 · MDW → FLL

departs 7:56 PM CT · arrives 11:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3073 · MDW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?