WN 3090 · MSY → BNA

departs 7:52 AM CT · arrives 9:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from MSY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.83 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3090 · MSY → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?