WN 3100 · STL → TPA

departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 1:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ STL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3100 · STL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?