WN 3101 · LAS → BUR

departs 3:42 PM PT · arrives 4:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3101 · LAS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?