WN 3104 · BWI → SLC

departs 12:56 PM ET · arrives 3:38 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.13 in

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3104 · BWI → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?