WN 3106 · DAL → AUS

took off 4:50 PM CT · expected to land 5:24 PM CT (scheduled 4:01 PM CT → 5:10 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3106 · DAL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?