WN 3116 · MSY → HOU

departs 10:10 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.10 in

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3116 · MSY → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?