WN 3124 · DEN → SNA

departs 8:31 AM MT · arrives 9:55 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SNA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3124 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?