Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3128 LANDED 6:37 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 3128 · OMA → MDW

took off 5:30 AM CT · landed 6:37 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ MDW is prone to delays

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3128 · OMA → MDW

Odds over time