WN 3137 · MSY → SAT

departs 1:36 PM CT · arrives 3:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.41 in

SAT (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3137 · MSY → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?