WN 3223 · PHX → ONT

departs 10:47 PM MT · arrives 12:11 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ONT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3223 · PHX → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?