WN 3237 · SJC → SAN

departs 1:41 PM PT · arrives 3:16 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3237 · SJC → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?