Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 323
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 323 · LAX → HOU
departs 2:30 PM PT · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.