WN 3244 · OMA → MDW

took off 5:37 PM CT · landed 6:38 PM CT (scheduled 4:50 PM CT → 6:27 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3244 · OMA → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?