WN 3249 · HOU → LGB

departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

LGB (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3249 · HOU → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?