Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3323
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 3323 · SAN → BWI
departs 1:30 PM PT · arrives 9:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day
↑
1pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.