WN 3326 · PHX → SAN

departs 10:10 PM MT · arrives 11:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +45 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3326 · PHX → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?