WN 333 · LAS → BNA

took off 9:32 AM PT · expected to land 2:33 PM CT (scheduled 9:06 AM PT → 2:45 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 333 · LAS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?